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Ascot Preview, 30th Mar
West Australian Racing
PerthTurfTalk
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Ascot R1. Ozbet.com.au Handicap - Chris Nelson
Black Felix is likely to start favourite in the opener and that's a concern. If he is to break the duck over 1400m it will come at his 7th attempt and carrying 58kg.
I'll lean towards the bridemaid Exclusive Honour instead. If he's to post a second win tomorrow appears the race after a 5th to Lets Lighten Up, who has plenty of ability.
The Underworld is the most talented runner in the race and winning would be no surprise, however he'll need things to go his way.
4. EXCLUSIVE HONOUR - 2. THE UNDERWORLD(NZ) - 1. BLACK FELIX
Black Felix is likely to start favourite in the opener and that's a concern. If he is to break the duck over 1400m it will come at his 7th attempt and carrying 58kg.
I'll lean towards the bridemaid Exclusive Honour instead. If he's to post a second win tomorrow appears the race after a 5th to Lets Lighten Up, who has plenty of ability.
The Underworld is the most talented runner in the race and winning would be no surprise, however he'll need things to go his way.
4. EXCLUSIVE HONOUR - 2. THE UNDERWORLD(NZ) - 1. BLACK FELIX
Comments
The ever consistent Right Time will look to add to his excellent record over the distance with 7 wins from 15 starts. Azzopardi's claim keeps him in the race.
Modello came home well last start after Beach Express had made a mess of them. He is in this up to mane.
Thunderluv'n is weighted to win but the step back to 1200m is a concern, Azzopardi also electing to ride the favourite.
1. RIGHT TIME - 2. MODELLO - 3. THUNDERLUV'N
I have kept a keen eye on Flying Zoe since her debut and she's yet to run a bad race. The stable have a high opinion of her and after a short let-up she returned with a solid trial. All her form suggests tomorrow could be her day.
Hennessy Raider did enough on debut to make his presence felt here, whilst the Colin Webster trained Ribotique trialed very well and could make a splash.
5. FLYING ZOE - 2. HENNESSY RAIDER - 10. RIBOTIQUE
Most of Perth rode home Stock Trader last start only for the Trade Fair gelding to fall agonisingly short by half a head. It may not be as run to suit, however I think this is a weaker field and he's capable of getting the job done.
Royal Inferno was just a breath away in that race and Muscles Mark Forder will be looking to go one better on rivals.
Pure Glamour's last run can be forgiven and Pike will give her every chance to return to form.
3. STOCK TRADER - 1. ROYAL INFERNO - 6. PURE GLAMOUR
Express Service seemed to labour last start when asked for an effort, however tomorrow is a key Derby run and I'm expecting sharp improvement over the 1800m. The Darren McAuliffe trained gelding has been a model of consistency this campaign.
That won't come easy with Black Tycoon in the race, who fleetingly looked in danger as a short priced favourite before finding something the others didn't have.
Black Uma is the obvious third pick after a bold effort behind Black Tycoon and their previous encounter.
6. EXPRESS SERVICE - 2. BLACK TYCOON - 3. BLACK UMA
Finally selecting some value in Race 6 with Advantage Norman on top. It was a winnable race that they scratched from midweek and Paul Jordan obviously has a greater conquer in mind.
It won't come easy with the top weight, Make Your Move, looking to recommence a picket-fence and formlines earlier in the day will confirm his chances.
Passion Cantana wasn't disgraced in the 1000 Guineas and comes back in class here. Her record speaks for itself.
3. ADVANTAGE NORMAN - 1. MAKE YOUR MOVE - 6. PASSION CANTATA
Really like Dare To Doubt here, he finished as well as any beyond Young Lionel last start and this race ticks all the boxes for him.
William Pike boards Devilish Intent for his first-up 1400m assignment. He'll have the 60kg impost, however he races very well fresh and this isn't beyond him.
Cyber Crime was gallant in defeat at his previous outing and will strip fitter for that run. He's at good each way value and can run a cheeky race.
8. DARE TO DOUBT - 1. DEVILISH INTENT - 6. CYBER CRIME
Even Astar has two stakes victory to her name, however hasn't won since defeating All Friared up in 2010. She's back in form though and she looked home for the chocolates last start before Young Lionel hit overdrive and pegged her in a photo. She could slip away again tomorrow and it's debatable who's up to catching her.
Dark Rock won impressively last start putting away Ron's Gem, who did get the better of Even Astar so the indirect form line could be the key factor.
Red Hot Sax has copped wind burn from a couple of smart ones at his recent two outings, however he did take down Mia China Doll before that and this is back to easier company.
3. EVEN ASTAR - 2. DARK ROCK - 1. RED HOT SAX
1 BLACK FELIX 5.9
2 THE UNDERWORLD 4.0
4 EXCLUSIVE HONOUR 3.9
5 METRO MASTER 34.1
6 THE BLUES 5.0
7 FABULISTIC 10.6
1 RIGHT TIME 3.9
2 MODELLO 3.7
3 THUNDERLUV'N 10.9
4 DANCE WORKS 103.7
5 DU PRINTEMPS 6.8
6 FINAL CUT 12.1
7 STACKS ON 6.8
1 WALKOVER 8.5
2 HENNESSY RAIDER 5.3
3 STREET BANDIT 15.9
5 FLYING ZOE 3.0
6 PURE METEOR 39.4
7 BONNE FEMME 16.6
8 FORMIDABLE STORM 11.6
9 HIT THE STUMPS 48.0
10 RIBOTIQUE 9.7
1 ROYAL INFERNO 5.0
2 FLYTEGO 12.7
3 STOCK TRADER 4.0
4 UNPRETENTIOUS LASS 10.8
5 THEORIA 61.2
6 PURE GLAMOUR 4.9
7 BACK TO A WALK 35.6
8 ORASTARIO 7.6
2 BLACK TYCOON 3.8
3 BLACK UMA 2.7
5 DISCO BLING 15.1
6 EXPRESS SERVICE 4.8
7 VERDELLO BLUE 17.2
8 WILD TIMES 27.4
1 MAKE YOUR MOVE 4.2
2 WESTERN BLAZE 9.8
3 ADVANTAGE NORMAN 14.3
4 SOARING LAD 2.7
5 BASE TRADE 20.8
6 PASSION CANTATA 8.6
7 FUTURISM 65.5
8 CAPE ROSALEA 25.5
1 DEVILISH INTENT 6.1
2 FLASHY DOLL 6.2
3 NEW TIME 7.6
4 FRENCHMAN 11.5
5 DEMPSEY 23.6
6 CYBER CRIME 12.7
7 DAINTREE ROAD 55.8
8 DARE TO DOUBT 4.3
9 DINO MAK 23.2
10 FLAG OFFICER 35.3
11 FLASH GIFT 76.9
1 RED HOT SAX 9.0
2 DARK ROCK 9.0
3 EVEN ASTAR 14.8
4 ARCTIC OCEAN 22.9
5 DARK MISS 12.2
6 READY ON TIME 19.3
7 AMPHLETT 2.6
8 VERSCENE 14.8
10 BLACK MAGIC MISS 20.9
11 TWILIGHT HOURS 29.1
Will see what the goat or the punter have on offer a bit later on...
my prices can be, and are, anywhere rio.
anybody should be able to do any particular race much better(i know i could if could be bothered) than the computer.
can they do it better every race every day though, and with no work whatsoever?
if i could get an extra 1.5%-3% out of it, i think it would be good enough to get a house each for my grand kids. :\">
A few people have told me that they really like to have this info posted every week and realise that the prices aren't right, and the selections aren't spot on...but gee, does it help them with their novelty bets!!!!
and when i have time.
B-)
be interested to know if that was backed anywhere.