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Comments
Gold Salute 95097 4.80 1.95 $ $
All American 94310 6.25 2.30 $ $
Ortensia 95320 7.75 2.70 $ $
Grand Nirvana 74614 8.50 2.90 $ $
Kasabian 74658 8.50 2.90 $ $
Tarzi 97994 12.00 3.70 $ $
Megatic 92995 14.00 4.20 $ $
Sniper's Bullet 94278 14.00 4.20 $ $
Largo Lad 95237 14.00 4.20 $ $
Elliotto 72902 14.00 4.20 $ $
Keytomoney 5121 20.00 5.75 $ $
Spirited One 7962 20.00 5.75 $ $
Colour Correct 98389 23.00 6.50 $ $
Famous Roman 73089 29.00 8.00 $ $
Lords Ransom 6933 29.00 8.00 $ $
Lambton Castle (1E) 8797 56.00 15.00 $ $
Oroya Gold 7961 67.00 17.00 $ $
Coconut Grove (2E) 8970 111.00 29.00 $ $
Hopefully Ortensia runs in the Winterbottom, that way we get a better price on Waratah's.... 8)
which would you go for
Gold Salute
All Americian
Tarzi
Elliotto
Snipers Bullet
Weight : 52.9kg
Price : $7.40
Bar : 7.6
Gee, I think at the current price I would be willing to gamble that Ortensia runs the 1600m. She finished off the Stradbroke very strongly going past Marasco on the way. Track was rain affected that day and she’s much better on dry. She got held up last start and got to the line strongly, again only 1400m. Her sire Testa Rossa certainly handled 1600m and her Dam came from Picnicker by Aerate. Picnicker was a strong one pacer trained by Gerald Ryan and won a group 3 at Morphetville over 1600m.
Perhaps if she was 6/4 favourite I’d be banking against her but at the price, on a dry track, with her acceleration, I think she’s definitely value. I think Kasabian will lead but I don’t think the pace will be overly fast. Elliotto will position up well from his alley and Megatic may go forward. I picture Ortensia fairly handy to midfield with cover.
I’m happy to bet against All American off a big peak and up 3kilo’s. Gold Salute is a definite chance. I think Grand Nirvava and Spirited One are the best of the locals.
My analysis - only bad luck/horrible rides can stop the Eastern Staters winning, if not running the trifecta. I don't follow them that strong, but I simply don't think there's anything close to a Gilded Venom in the local contingent - which means if they turn up in decent shape/form the ES horses are simply better.
Who exactly of them depends on ifs and buts of transits/tempo: Ortensia ridden back to get trip?, will Gold Salute jump?, will All American get tempo and cover he needs before pinging?, how much work will SB do to get over? etc etc.
Not that keen to bet on it to be honest, too hard for me. If you held a gun to my head I'd say you had the top two right - Gold Salute from All American.
dont hate me :D
dont kid yourself and look past the obvious in one our best fillys going round at the minute. (scrape into the top 5?)
Waratah's having its fifth race first prep (huge ask), fell in last when The Corp nearly knocked him off!! do you think Waratah's will enjoy the picnic up front he has experienced at his past 4 runs running in a Winterbottom? highly doubt it!
Previous start at 1200m he clocked 1.08.13 - I dont any 3yo has ever run that time in WA let alone older horses
3 weeks between runs will be as fresh as a daisy
Tony Noonan and connections shouldn't press fwd to the railway after the barrier draw imo, gonna be a tough to win a railway from 13 but the one positive they can look fwd to is how versatile she is, go fwd from 13 and sit outside the pace or get back and run on if dungys mate C.Williams decides to slot in with cover back in the field.....
The only chance any have of beating Waratah's is if he draws the river and he has to do a stack of work to lead....
But would probably be in front after 50m even from barrier 16.....
They will have to smash the track record to beat him :!:
Imo huge overs at current price :!:
I'm already onboard. Will be less than $3 if he draws a barrier.
Down in weight, back to best distance, blinkers back on, has run amazing time and sectionals.
They can't put pressure on him if they can't get near him.....
Jumped off and said ok, but struggles, won't amount to much.
Came out and won 4 of his next 7 starts all in town, all on Saturdays ! ;)
How often can yuo get a G.Boss or a D.Oliver to ride your prized possession ???
Anything less would be a disappointment.