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Eastern States Racing

East Coast Racing

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  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Deany Yendall in full cry just now at Werribee  :x
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    edited December 2020
    Standish Handicap tomorrow at Flemington, it's the 20th anniversary of the day Iglesia almost literally set the track on fire.His course record still stands and i remember he was backed off the map in a huge plunge, don't recall exactly the on course s.p but it started shorter than 3-1 maybe 5-2 in the old and hammered in from double figures..had fixed odds reverted to decimal by then? if so $3.50 but i don't actually recall when this changed Shithouse memory me at times..ugghh.
    I kept piling money on but in the pre online odds or even Tab fixed odds era I copped the ever shortening tote price, step bro in-law I was with thought i was crazy(until it bolted in)big day, amazing win.

    To the race this year and as much as I like how Defiant Dancer is going I think the class horse on the limit is Sirius Suspect, with the star Jamie Kah on board.
    They should be winning and if DD can step up to a new peak he can run 2nd I reckon.
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Anyone cop the call by that sometimes dill Terry Bailey for R7 Euchuca?..was knocking the fav Jealice clearly throughout the run(i was on it), called it 3 deep no cover when it was 1/1 lol(was maybe a bit further back than expected after being a tad slow away)then he called it as being in "a world of pain" as it tracked the 2nd fav into the race from about 5L back and.....wins eased down by a length... 

    He tipped it and i dunno if he backed it but he was either being terry the dh we know and just tolerate OR he was going the reverse jonah death riding it because he was on. 
    :))
    anyone without vision just listening on radio would have been giving up based on the call.

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  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    edited January 2021
    Huge field for R2 Flemington well 16 which is a lot when you like one drawn wide but i think Feuermond can 3peat today, is an import from Germany who is demonstrating good ability.
    Mcneil has a good long run to find a position I.e midfield or further back with cover probably best or maybe settles closer to the speed unsure what they will do really, he has been set alight at tighter tracks but they might and can wait until the turn and use the long straight at headquarters to avantage.

    Speaking of Avantage she resumes at Ellerslie in the race @Swoop has tipped the short priced indeed Levante.Should be a cracking race assume Richards will have her spot on for the group 1 test she will be super hard to beat, the up and comer will need to be very good.
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Charles Road in the Auckland Cup could be worth a spec he looks to be back in some sort of form and the race isn't that strong, $15+ looks appealing he runs decent races at odds and this distance range.
    *likes it dry too which are conditions he gets.

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  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    Opie Bosson in the lead for worst ride of '21 for that effort on In A Twinkling in the Auckland Cup. All things considered, the horse did a good job, as it had to work for half the race to get outside the leader.

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  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    went like a busted **** Smith's "progressive" stayer  L-)
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Well TRK at least he got it out of the way in that race(was average i agree)so that he can give Avantage his best of '21 ride.
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    edited January 2021
    2.80 Avantage then plunged late..

    Levante looks promising Swoop a real up and comer but what were they doing, jock was way too far back actually did well to finish that close
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    Apart from winning, I'm not sure the ride on Avantage was anything special, the main danger just got too far back . As for the Cup, I'm annoyed I didn't take a saver on the winner as I had it blackbooked after backed it last start where track bias probably brought it undone. The wide draw for Savy Yong Blonk is why In A Twinkling was backed into clear fav. It was a terrible, terrible ride. 
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    edited January 2021
    Was a steer job really thought she might have got away from old Julius a bit easier.
    6/8 first up and 2 seconds now, wins from 800 to 2000m she is an NZ star only Melody Belle is better and her nemesis...won 1 or 2 in sydney i think but not top shelf on our shores.

    Levante up to 1400 looks a banker the jockey on that is into the semi's of shitty rides too.
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    I'm not so sure. Melody Belle was getting thrashed over here in the early spring. She went home and dominated all of them, inc Avantage, who was coming off getting rolled by an 80-1 shot when odds on.
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    MB was off here back then we know that.

    Avantage got too far back that day and their allowed one "average run" arent they?.\
    In NZ her 18 starts yield a record of 11-5-1 and a 4th to Te Akau Shark!..5 of them group 1s.She is the 2nd best mare in NZ without question imo, i fully understand that form doesnt really stack up here in top grade there is a class gap...
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Onya Jamie  :x :\">
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts

    Onya Jamie  :x :\">




    PEACH of a ride on Hasseltoff too go you good thing JK :x
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Master Of Montaro about to win at HK
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    or not...
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    WOW..she should have won the last race too just got caught up at a vital stage
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts

    MB was off here back then we know that.

    Avantage got too far back that day and their allowed one "average run" arent they?.\
    In NZ her 18 starts yield a record of 11-5-1 and a 4th to Te Akau Shark!..5 of them group 1s.She is the 2nd best mare in NZ without question imo, i fully understand that form doesnt really stack up here in top grade there is a class gap...

    I think Jennifer Eccles is potentially better. Obviously didn't come up well last prep and was beaten by both Melody Belle and Avantage more than once. 
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Has potential but now some ground to make up..in form is probably better at 2000+ but up to 1600 now i'd still back the other two.
    Was slightly saddened to see Te Akau Shark was retired a few weeks back, he was potentially stilla worthy challenger in Australia and had proved so already
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    She won the NZ Oaks-if they'd brought her across to Aus, she'd have given Colette a run for her money in the ATC Oaks. I know I'd have backed her becos, let's face it, the NZ stayers are better and have been plundering the 3yo races for a long time. You run that race today a few times and the 2nd fav probably wins it just as often as Avantage.. 
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Placegetters in that Oaks have done nought subsequently in fact have gone awful so she needs to back it up in subsequent campaigns or be consigned to being a one prep wonder, as i eluded too also she is a stayer Avantage is a sprinter/miler mainly.

    Look forward to a rematch with Levante she looks very smart, but firstly she will need to be ridden a bit closer because Avantage will be improved from today..checking the results the last 600m sectionals were low flying so she did well fresh in fact all the 3 placegetters did.
  • TheSwooperTheSwooper    1,718 posts
    Levante is a super little horse but will always be up against it in this grade due to her race pattern. I don't think she has ever not missed the start or been slowly away. I never backed her yesterday as thought the odds were too skinny and couldn't see how he could give Advantage 4-5L at the top of the straight. Her closing sectional was 32.53 which is pretty sharp. The leaders had it pretty easy and ran low 33's so was very difficult to get even close.

    I did have something on Royal Performer; however, it too got a long way back and the leader had it easy. Think this one will get out to 2000m so will be sticking.

    Jamie Richards certainly has some nice types in his stable. What I do like about him is that he is very good at producing picket fences for many of his runners. Their performances rarely drop off and most have a turn of foot. I see Opie did cop a few days for some of his rides yesterday.

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  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    edited January 2021
    @Thunderstruck, i think you're forgetting, or just aren't aware of,  just how strong the 3yo strong races were last year. Sherwood Forest may not have kicked on here in Aus but he beat Dragon Leap(4th) in that Derby as well as the filly, Two Illicit(2nd), who dodged Jennifer Eccles in the Oaks to take on the colts/geldings. And Jennifer Eccles damn near fell at the top the the straight in that Oaks-go watch it again. Upsets happen in Derbies-think Rebel Raider($101) rolling Whobegotyou($1.75)-sometimes the better stayer isn't apparent until they get out to a distance they've never raced over. Sprinters should not get rolled as odds on pops in G1 races, unless the track is terribly biased.
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    TRK, lots of mares and probably the boys too never do much after winning a staying feature, you can bang on all day about it but as yet she hasn't franked that very good(on paper)staying prep at the top level there,
    Will happily stand corrected IF she recaptures her top form from last Autumn and wins more top grade races there, until then she is an Oaks winner who didn't come up at her next prep(which is quite common).





  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Ooh ahh Jamie Kah does it again :x
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    @Thunderstruck I've made my point. I'm just not anointing the next $2 fav to win a race as the 2nd best horse in the country. 
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Slick win by Miss Albania in R5 Caulfield clocking 1.02.47.
    Reckon i had a double win with Knowles being scratched doubt JK would have beaten that winner
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    your perrogative mate i was tiring of the topic too tbh... and i meant 2nd best mare..
    Anyhoo any tips today??

    Heavy track @ Randwick i'm backing Soldier Of Love to bounce back to form and beat Edison in the next?
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    huge run Yulong Command, but for that other squib Esta La Roca that punctured and finished 3rd last after taking Jamie on for the lead it wins 8-|
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