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R7. Schweppes-w.a.t.c. Derby -  1 January 1970 preview

R7. Schweppes-w.a.t.c. Derby - 1 January 1970

Scott Embry | Fri 15 April, 2016

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Potential Upset

Selections

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I'm prepared to have a throw at the stumps in the biggest 3 year old race of the year and jump off Kia Ora Koutou who I've been tipping non-stop like a broken record for the past few months and go with the tiny little filly Culverin in an upset. Hoping McGruddy doesn't adopt Dashing Dan Miller tactics like he did in the Oaks and unleash Culverin at the 800m three deep in an attempt to find the front but rather sit back and let her ease into the race. The fact she was able to produce a short sharp turn of foot and then still whack away in the straight to finish third was very impressive and I think if saved up for one final run at them can prove to be the horse with the best turn of foot. At around 30-1 I'm happy to play Culverin as a blowout. Who Dat Singa was the best backed runner in the Melvista and as is normally the case in WA the money hit and he won with ease. Barrier 11 hurts his chances but if Carbery can slide across from the outside and find a position outside the lead then he'll go close. Kia Ora Koutou has been relatively disappointing this preparation but this is the target and Durrant may just have an ace up his sleeve.

Suggested Bet

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$10 x $40

All bets represent a maximum confidence rating of $100 expenditure.

Scott Embry's Bets for the Meeting

RNoRunnerWPResultReturn
$0 Total Bets$$$0.00
Profit/Loss$0.00

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73 Comments | 1 decade ago

Recent Comments

User thefalcon

thefalcon 18 Apr | Posts: 20211

dungy, Melbourne spring is a time to hobnob, visit family etc all at owners expense.one perth trainer always manages to get a freebie each year.....

User dungy

dungy 17 Apr | Posts: 9217

Whispering Brook to Melbourne for the Spring the horse ran a good strong 1400m on Saturday does Miller not relise there is a 1600m 3 yold Guineaus here  on super Saturday worth half million ?? plus all the lead up races its differant if there are no optio...

User Yankee

Yankee 17 Apr | Posts: 267

No mention of recoiled i thought it had broken down could  barely get around the bend.

User hash

hash 17 Apr | Posts: 7333

agree they went too hard upfront, just look at the second last and last horse before the bend and where they finished, Culverin & KOK flew home into the placings, that wouldn't have been possible if the pace upfront wasn't so hot

User therealkramer

therealkramer 17 Apr | Posts: 7932

Poor old Aussieredheads ohhh his man Carvery just pushed the button a bit to early and got collard by the master Bit harsh there I reckon. I think he went for home when he had to and Who Dat Singa(last 600m: 35.94) has just got tired the last 50-100m. T...

User dungy

dungy 17 Apr | Posts: 9217

Poor old Aussieredheads ohhh his man Carvery just pushed the button a bit to early and got collard by the master Bit harsh there I reckon. I think he went for home when he had to and Who Dat Singa(last 600m: 35.94) has just got tired the last 50-100m. T...

User hash

hash 16 Apr | Posts: 7333

@Hash didn't think he exploded home last run did he ? Blimey I can't remember!!  Thought today might be his day but not to be. his run before yesterday was the one that sucked the punters in and tes your right he did drift before the jump, the money t...

User therealkramer

therealkramer 16 Apr | Posts: 7932

Poor old Aussieredheads ohhh his man Carvery just pushed the button a bit to early and got collard by the master Bit harsh there I reckon. I think he went for home when he had to and Who Dat Singa(last 600m: 35.94) has just got tired the last 50-100m. T...

User dungy

dungy 16 Apr | Posts: 9217

knocked back, dungy? didn't he fail a vet examination..or something close to it? knocked back, dungy? didn't he fail a vet examination..or something close to it? I thought they decided to keep the horse I remember it had a paddock accident

User Ridersonthestorm33

Ridersonthestorm33 16 Apr | Posts: 10449

As somebody mentioned earlier KOK fair dinkum dawdled out of the barriers.The new whip rules may not suit a horse like him. He needs stoking up! Former great jockey Rod Kemp would be a perfect fit to ride.